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🇺🇸🔮 Odds of crypto market structure legislation being signed into law before the end of this year fall to 7% on Polymarket.

Daily Market Dispatch – December 12, 2025 Crypto pushes for weekly gains ahead of a high-impact run of global data Total crypto market capitalization sits near $3.14 trillion, showing a slight recovery as majors firm into the end of the week. Bitcoin is back toward the upper end of its recent range, while altcoins are seeing selective strength as traders digest the Fed’s rate cut and stabilizing risk sentiment. Crypto continues to display quiet resilience, reinforcing the idea that liquidity cycles can distort equities long before they decide crypto’s next move. Traditional markets were mixed. U.S. futures hovered near flat after record highs in the S&P 500 and Dow, while tech sentiment softened as rising AI capex weighed on margins at Broadcom and Oracle. Gold and silver eased slightly after a strong week driven by the Fed’s shift in tone, with silver still near record levels. Oil edged higher on Venezuelan supply concerns, while UK GDP data showed another monthly contraction ahead of next week’s BoE decision. Macro remains busy, but it is shaping context rather than dictating crypto’s direction. Bitcoin Bitcoin traded near $92,600, up about 2.5% on the day and tracking a 4% weekly gain. The $88,000–$93,000 range still defines December. The Fed’s third rate cut supported conditions, though not enough to trigger a breakout. U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs saw $77 million in outflows, reflecting defensive year-end positioning among institutions. Momentum is steady but cautious; Bitcoin isn’t lacking demand, it is simply waiting for a catalyst strong enough to bend the range. The next impulse may come as Q1 allocations force investors to rebuild exposure against a more predictable macro backdrop. Ethereum & Altcoins Ethereum traded around $3,260, holding steady alongside Bitcoin. Solana rallied more than 6%, while XRP, Polygon, and others posted modest gains. ETF flows were mixed: Ethereum ETFs saw $42 million outflows, XRP products took in $16 million, and Solana ETFs added $11 million. Rotation remains selective but constructive as traders cautiously reach for beta. The question heading into early 2026 is where leadership emerges – whether in next-generation L1s, scaling-focused L2s, or real-world assets as regulation evolves. Macro & Institutional U.S. and European equities were steady after the Fed’s less-hawkish stance, though AI-linked heavyweights weighed on tech sentiment as capital expenditure surged faster than earnings. Gold and industrial metals paused after a strong week boosted by easier U.S. policy, while oil firmed on renewed supply risks. Consumer caution also featured, with Costco’s results highlighting continued demand for lower-priced goods. In Washington, momentum continued around digital-asset legislation. Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott reported progress after meeting major bank CEOs, as lawmakers work to reconcile SEC–CFTC jurisdiction and establish a unified market-structure framework. Even incremental clarity could reshape the institutional landscape for crypto in 2026, especially as regulation becomes a competitive frontier among global financial centers. Looking Ahead Next week brings a dense macro schedule: Eurozone ZEW sentiment on Tuesday alongside U.S. nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, retail sales, and wage data; UK and Eurozone CPI on Wednesday; and a major Thursday trifecta with the Bank of England and ECB rate decisions, plus U.S. CPI and jobless claims. These releases will help determine whether the post-Fed environment evolves into a calmer liquidity backdrop or reintroduces volatility. If data softens without signaling stress, crypto may find the air pocket it needs to shift from resilience to early-cycle momentum as investors position for 2026. — Iliya Kalchev, Nexo Dispatch Analyst For informational purposes only; not financial or investment advice.